Using influence diagrams as a tool for decision making
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Influence diagrams as decision-making tools for pesticide risk management.
The pesticide policy arena is filled with discussion of probabilistic approaches to assess ecological risk, however, similar discussions about implementing formal probabilistic methods in pesticide risk decision making are less common. An influence diagram approach is proposed for ecological risk-based decisions about pesticide usage. Aside from technical data, pesticide risk management relies ...
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The potential influence diagram is a generalization of the standard "conditional" influence diagram, a directed network representation for probabilistic inference and decision analysis [Ndilikilikesha, 1991). It allows efficient inference calculations corresponding exactly to those on undirected graphs. In this paper, we explore the relationship between potential and conditional influence diagr...
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In previous work [1, 2] we defined a mechanism for performing probabilistic reasoning in influence dia grams using interval rather than point-valued proba bilities. In this paper we extend these procedures to incorporate decision nodes and interval-valued value functions in the diagram. We derive the procedures for chance node removal (calculating expected value) and decision node removal (op...
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The group found a variety of sources of literature that related to these kinds of structure. Some of the members of the group were familiar with some of these approaches and shared their experiences with the group. The group also did some new investigations of its own. The industrial representatives encouraged the group to keep discussion open-ended, open-minded and not too focused in order to ...
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The increasing number of knowledge-based systems that build on a Bayesian belief network or influence diagram acknowledge the usefulness of these frameworks for addressing complex real-life problems. The usually large number of probabilities and utilities required for their application, however, is often considered a major obstacle. The use of qualitative abstractions may to some extent remove ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: ANZIAM Journal
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1445-8810
DOI: 10.21914/anziamj.v52i0.3572